Bourne’s Gambling Update: Ain’t Pretty, But There’s HopeShareThis
New Puck Daddy: I attempted some real reportery type stuff on the overall mood in Phoenix. I’m just not great at this type of writing yet, but practice, practice, practice.
Bet one: Detroit Red Wings and Phoenix Coyotes will play MORE than 5.5 games
Okay, bet one looks pretty bleak.
The Coyotes are a team that needs to operate as a unit to succeed – they aren’t star-studded, they aren’t going to win a run-and-gun game, they just need to play shut down defense and hope to get a big game from random players throughout the lineup to win.
That said, they have one star who has to be a star: Ilya Bryzgalov. In short, he hasn’t been, so they’re down three nothing.
Would I make this bet again today? — Fuck no.
Wager: $10 to profit $5.71 ($15.71)
Bet two: Jordan Staal will tally more than 3.5 points
I tweeted this earlier today because it blew my mind: the Pens are up 2-1 in this series against a good Tampa Bay Lightning team, yet only three humans have more than one point (all have three points). Who, you ask? I answer: Brooks Orpik (huh?), Aaron Asham (saywhatnow?) and Kris Letang (sure, but still, another d-man).
Staal has one assist with another 3 or 4 games to go.
Would I make this bet again today? — Would totally depends on the odds I got, but I think it’s a winnable bet. Lots of ice time available to him as usual, and the series should go long.
Wager: $10 to profit $8.70 ($18.70)
Bet three: The Montreal Canadiens will lose in the first round
The Bruins are down 2-1 to the Habs, but honestly, I’m still fine with this bet. They didn’t make me pick in how many games, so I can use the whole series to get this one done.
Would I make this bet again today? — Yes I would. Again, I’d need improved odds, but if my life depended on picking the winner of this series, I’d still take the Bruins.
Wager: $10 to profit $4.55 ($14.55)
Bet four: Of the eight 5 through 8 seeds, LESS than 2.5 will advance
This was the bigger of my bets (while still being small), so I really want this one. As of today, only two lower seeds are leading their series: Nashville, who I predicted, and Montreal, who I think is going to lose. The only one that’s tied is Los Angeles, and I have no doubt that San Jose is going to win that series. The rest of the favourites are winning.
So things are about as good as they could be on this one. The bet is a long way from won, but at least no underdog blindsided me and won in a walk or anything.
Would I make this bet again today? — In a heartbeat, if they’d give me the same odds.
Wager: $10 to profit $12 ($22.00)
Bet five: Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins will play MORE than 5.5 games
Two very evenly matched teams that have played close games. Pitt isn’t winning this series in five (are they?), so I like where it’s sitting.
Would I make this bet again today? — Is there anyone out there who wouldn’t?
Wager: $10 to profit $5.26 ($15.26)
Total wager: $50
To profit: $36.22 (and end with $86.22)
The way I see things: I’m probably losing the first bet (down $10). The Staal one we’ll call a push right now, lots of time left. We’ll do the same for the Habs/Bruins. I’m calling the underdogs losing a win (jinx, but 22 dollars back), and the last one a win ($15.26).
According to that math, I could end up in the black $17.26, which would leave me at $67.26. I’d take that, but I’d have to get more aggressive in the next round (and of course, the pushes aren’t a possibility, so lots to be decided there).
Only two games on the schedule tonight. I’ll be rooting for San Jose – die, underdogs, die! (Just kidding, I like LA, I just like winning money more!)